India’s manufacturing growth hits 12-month low in Dec amid softer rise in output, new orders

PTI, Jan 2, 2025, 11:32 AM IST

India’s manufacturing sector growth fell to a 12-month low in December, as new business orders and production expanded at softer rates, a monthly survey said on Thursday.

The seasonally adjusted HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index was at 56.4 in December, down from 56.5 in November, indicating a weaker improvement in operating conditions.

Despite the decline, the headline figure remained above its long-run average of 54.1 thereby signalling a robust rate of growth.

In PMI parlance, a print above 50 means expansion, while a score below 50 denotes contraction.

“India’s manufacturing activity ended a strong 2024 with a soft note amidst more signs of a slowing trend, albeit moderate, in the industrial sector. The rate of expansion in new orders was the slowest in the year, suggesting weaker growth in future production,” Ines Lam, Economist at HSBC, said.

The manufacturing sector growth was hampered by competition and price pressures.

Lam said there was some uplift in the growth of new export orders, which rose at the fastest pace since July.

“Although new export sales rose at a slower rate than total new business, the pace of growth for the former strengthened as firms were able to secure international orders from across the globe,” the survey said.

According to the survey, the “substantial” rate of growth resulted in further expansions in buying levels and employment.

Ongoing improvements in new work intakes prompted manufacturing companies in India to purchase additional inputs for use in production processes and on the job front, around one in ten companies recruited extra staff, while fewer than 2 per cent of firms shed jobs.

On the price front, with container, material and labour costs reportedly rising since November, Indian manufacturers registered another increase in overall expenses. On a month-on-month basis, however, the rate of input price inflation was moderate by historical standards.

The HSBC India Manufacturing PMI is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to purchasing managers in a panel of around 400 manufacturers.

Looking to 2025, Indian manufacturers were confident of a rise in output. “Optimism reflected advertising, investment and expectation of favourable demand. Sentiment was nevertheless curbed by concerns around inflation and competitive pressures,” the survey said.